The Oakland Athletics (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 41-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 59-55 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 away games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 65 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 53 games at home (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Urquidy has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 104 games (+8.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 89 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 101 games (+20.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 112 games (+19.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+15.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 98 games (+9.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 95 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 55-58 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 41-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 48-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 60-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 5.71% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 59-55 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 73-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 2.81% ROI
- 43-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.2 Units / -23.45% ROI
- 67-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.45 Units / 15.35% ROI
Zach Logue: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Lance McCullers since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Hitters have swung at 58% of Lance McCullers’ pitches in the zone (779/1,342) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (684/1,379) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (101/559) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.