The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Saturday, August 13, 2022 in Game 2 of their doubleheader. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-61 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 70 games (+19.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 101 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 87 games (+16.92 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+15.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 away games (+2.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-56 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -11.91% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-61 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -12.72% ROI).
- 50-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.04% ROI
Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ian Anderson has allowed an OBP of .485 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.155 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .757 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (88/269) against Ian Anderson on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .390 (32-for-82) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.
–: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .098 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .116 (43 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo this month (2 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.