The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 60-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-63 ATS.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 away games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 54 games (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games at home (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 93 games (+16.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 away games (+9.95 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 59 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 93 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+22.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 59-53 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.64% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 8.16% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.29% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.14% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-63 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -14.68% ROI).
- 60-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -10.93% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.28% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -8.76% ROI
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (113/337) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .197 (90-for-456) against Triston McKenzie this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 92nd Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .259 (495 PA’s) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 87th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .113 (55-for-487) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 57.0.
Mitch White has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 58% (109/189) of opposing batters this season — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Mitch White on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
50% of Mitch White’s called strikeouts are inside this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.