The Pittsburgh Pirates (+200) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-250) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Pirates vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 45-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 51-61 ATS.
Pirates vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.55 Units / 77% ROI)
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jake Marisnick has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 away games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 54 away games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+16.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 93 games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -3.25% ROI).
- 45-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.96% ROI
- 50-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 56-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.64% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 51-61 against the Run Line (-16.55 Units / -11.88% ROI).
- 55-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -12.28% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -9.16% ROI
Tyler Beede: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (14/173) against Tyler Beede on fastballs this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (45/76) against Tyler Beede this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (9/59) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 13% (27 SO in 201 PAs) this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (244/420) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 75% of the time (363/486) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (299/454) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (1,928/3,130) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.