The San Diego Padres (-300) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+240) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Padres vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 64-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 47-67 ATS.
Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 38 away games (+19.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+14.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 90 games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 57 away games (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 101 games (+21.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 54-61 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -6.31% ROI).
- 64-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -0.58% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -5.65% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -3.16% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 47-67 against the Run Line (-29.1 Units / -20.81% ROI).
- 37-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.9 Units / -20.2% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -9.63% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (4 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .150 (160 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (6-for-60) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (35-for-191) against Yu Darvish’s non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 86th Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of .739 (17 Total Bases / 23 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — third Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed an OPS of 1.184 (27 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — third Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 8.
Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 18% (5 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.