Someone must score the first TD of the game. This article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Kendrick Bourne
Odds: +2500 via BetMGM
The Dolphins will be without Tua Tagovailoa this week, as he sustained a concussion against the Packers last week. Teddy Bridgewater is in line to start for the Dolphins, who are on a four-game losing streak. Both teams have a chance at a wild card spot, with the Dolphins currently holding the last wild card spot, and the Patriots are just outside looking in. Kendrick Bourne stepped up last week and almost helped the Patriots win in the second half last week. He saw nine targets and one rush attempt as he became one of the few options for the Patriots on offense due to injury. Many pass-catching options have not made it back to the practice field, which gives Bourne another opportunity to display his ability against the Dolphins’ secondary, which ranks twenty-eighth against the pass this season.
Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons
Greg Dortch
Odds: +1200 via BetMGM
Dortch saw 11 targets last week with Trace McSorley under center. He caught 10 of those for 98 yards and had three carries for 25 yards. Dortch looked dynamic with the ball in his hands, and the Cardinals have no reason to go away from him this week. James Conner has missed practice all week with an illness, so he is in jeopardy of not playing. Dortch is a great value play at this price and someone who will get plenty of touches.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Travis Etienne Jr.
Odds: +600 via BetMGM
The Texans are the worst defense against the run this season, allowing 168.6 rushing yards per game. Most teams enter the week with a game plan to run the football, and the Jaguars should be no exception. Etienne has averaged 13.6 rushing attempts per game and has topped 15 for three weeks in a row against stout run defenses. In week five, Etienne had 10 carries for 71 yards but split time with James Robinson, who does not play for the Jaguars anymore. Etienne could be in for a monster day in this matchup and is worth a shot to score first.
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce
Odds: +450 via BetMGM
Kelce has not found the end zone since week 12 against the Rams but is still pacing the Chiefs in receiving. He is averaging nine targets per game, and his quarterback is now leading the MVP race. The Chiefs are in contention for the number one seed in the AFC and have good matchups to end the regular season. Ideally, they would like to get up early and have a chance to rest their starters, which means they will go to Kelce early and often. The ball typically gets spread around in this offense, but Kelce is the one who receives the lion's share of the targets. He is a solid play this week, even if he is the favorite.
Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants
Saquon Barkley
Odds: +400 via BetMGM
The Colts did not look good with Nick Foles under center last week but have decided to keep him as the starter. He threw for three interceptions with a passer rating of 31.9. There is no reason to believe he will perform better this week, and it may lead to an easy Giants victory. Barkley is the best player on the Giants' offense and should see a ton of volume. Last week, he received 14 carries and 10 targets while finding the end zone on the ground. The Colts allow 122.2 rushing yards per game and have allowed 137.7 yards per game during their previous three games. Saquon is the favorite for a reason and has the most upside to score first.
New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles
Devonta Smith
Odds: +600 via Caesars Sportsbook