The New York Yankees (-130) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+105) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 71-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 56-57 ATS.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 away games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Jarren Duran | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Jarren Duran | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Jarren Duran | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nathan Eovaldi | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Domingo German | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 102 games (+7.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 84 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 84 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.51% ROI).
- 71-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 1.93% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.98% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -6.85% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-57 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -0.97% ROI).
- 55-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 51-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 53-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -2.08% ROI
Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Domingo German has struck out just 8% (2/26) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Domingo German has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 42 PAs) this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OBP of .600 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (10/96) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 60% (9 SO in 15 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/144) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 6 of 287 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 99th Percentile.