The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 58-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 56-56 ATS.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Arroyo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -155 |
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 72-38 against the Run Line (+27.05 Units / 18.73% ROI).
- 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.1 Units / 20.7% ROI
- 52-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 53-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.46% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 56-56 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.25% ROI).
- 54-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -7.55% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -2.91% ROI
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (56/181) against Dean Kremer this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .133 (15 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (1 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
71% of Dean Kremer’s called strikeouts are low this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 92nd Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (2 Total Bases / 15 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (1 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 98th Percentile.
Joshua Winckowski: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Winckowski has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 7th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 8.
Josh Winckowski has struck out just 7% (1/15) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has thrown his slider 48% of the time (42/87) this month (1 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total SL; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Josh Winckowski was 112.4 MPH — 13th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.0