Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 11
Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 11

The Texas Rangers (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 49-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 57-55 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 39 away games (+19.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 away games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 53 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 51 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Jake Meyers 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Jeremy Pena 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

    Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Jake Meyers 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Jeremy Pena 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

    Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    Jake Meyers 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Jeremy Pena 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

    Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Framber Valdez 6.5 -120 6.5 -115

  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 99 games (+19.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.60 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 110 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 99 games (+18.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 96 games (+7.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+7.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 63-47 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.71% ROI).

    • 49-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.25% ROI
    • 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.74% ROI
    • 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -8.05% ROI

    Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-55 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.7% ROI).

    • 71-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 1.84% ROI
    • 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.2 Units / -25.51% ROI
    • 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.65 Units / 17.39% ROI

    Cole Ragans has walked 4 of 22 batters (18%) this month (1 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

    Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (4/21) against Cole Ragans with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

    Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (3 Total Bases / 18 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .407 — 94th Percentile.

    Cole Ragans has a strike rate of just 59% (55/93) this month (1 games) — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

    Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (85/122) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (255/375) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (216/311) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (443/635) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

    Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

      
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