The New Orleans Saints (5-9) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cleveland.
The Browns are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).
The Saints vs. Browns Over/Under is 32.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Browns vs Saints & all NFL games with BetMGM
Saints vs. Browns Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 16 with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Browns vs Saints and all NFL games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
- Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eno Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Deshaun Watson | 30.5 -120 | 30.5 -110 |
Saints Best Bets for Week 16:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Browns Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 5-9 (-4.9 Units / -32.03% ROI).
- Saints are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -22.93% ROI
- Saints are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Saints are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 7-7 (-0.75 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- Browns are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -15.23% ROI
- Browns are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
- Browns are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Saints are winless (0-4) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Saints are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Saints are 4-1 (.800) when favorites this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .643.
The Saints are 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Browns are 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .461.
The Browns are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.