The Houston Texans (1-12) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (7-7) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville.
The Titans are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Titans Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Titans Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Titans will win this Week 16 game with 78.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread this Week 16 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Titans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Phillip Dorsett has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
Texans Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Titans Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tennessee Titans have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 6-7 (-1.65 Units / -10.71% ROI).
- Texans are 1-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -67.14% ROI
- Texans are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.85 Units / -18.45% ROI
- Texans are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans have gone 8-5 (+2.4 Units / 15.53% ROI).
- Titans are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.64% ROI
- Titans are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Titans are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Texans are 1-19-1 (.048) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Texans are 2-13-1 (.125) at home since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .528.
The Texans are winless (0-9-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2020 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Titans are winless (0-3) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.
The Titans are winless (0-2) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.