The Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (7-7) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Foxborough.
The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Patriots Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 16 game with 58.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 16 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets for Week 16:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 11-3 (+7.55 Units / 48.71% ROI).
- Bengals are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 2.83% ROI
- Bengals are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -24.92% ROI
- Bengals are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 7-6 (+0.55 Units / 3.65% ROI).
- Patriots are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -13.13% ROI
- Patriots are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Patriots are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Bengals are undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .589.
The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Bengals are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .595.
The Bengals are 6-3 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.