The 13-1 Philadelphia Eagles can clinch the NFC East Division title and No. 1 seed in the conference with a road victory over the Dallas Cowboys on Saturday. Unfortunately, Philly might be without star quarterback Jalen Hurts, and the Cowboys have been taking most of the early betting action. Here are our NFL Week 16 betting odds and lines of the week.
It was announced Monday that Hurts sustained a sprained shoulder during Sunday's game against the Chicago Bears, and his status for the Week 16 NFC East showdown against the Cowboys is uncertain.
I was surprised the line was moving in Dallas' direction all day without buyback on the Eagles, and now we know why. Rumors were leaked Monday afternoon about Hurts' injury, and oddsmakers quickly adjusted the spread.
Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for Week 16, and how we think they'll move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).
NFL Week 16 Odds and Lines: Thursday
Spread: Jets -1
This will be a fun line to track because the Jaguars were listed as big as +2.5 road underdogs in look-ahead markets, and FanDuel is on an island with them trading as -1.5 road favorites as of Monday. The Jets have lost three consecutive games, and I wouldn't be surprised if the betting action continues to pour in on the Jags – especially if New York quarterback Mike White (ribs) is trending toward missing another game.
Total: 39.5
With the Jag uars having just beaten the Cowboys 40-34, and the Over hitting in four straight Jacksonville games, I'm surprised this total is so low. In look-ahead markets it was as high as 42.5, and early money is coming in on the Over. I expect the number to be trading in the key range of 40-41 soon.
NFL Week 16 Odds and Lines: Saturday
Spread: Ravens -7
There hasn't been significant line movement in this game. The Baltimore Ravens were trading as a -6.5 to -7 home favorite in look-ahead markets, and there's a consensus touchdown spread across our top-rated sportsbooks as of Monday. I'm expecting the majority of the betting action to be on the Baltimore side, and that the Atlanta Falcons will be receiving the hook as +7.5 road underdogs in short order.
Total: 39
The Ravens have scored 29 points the past three weeks, so this total could drop even further from the 41 that was available in look-ahead markets. Plus, with the Baltimore d efense ranking third in defensive DVOA per Football Outsiders since its Week 10 bye, it could be a long afternoon for Atlanta rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder.
Spread: Lions -3
I expect this spread to cross the key number of 3 with the Detroit Lions trading as -3.5 road favorites some time this week. Bettors rushed to the window to back the Carolina Panthers and were burned in Week 15, so I'd be surprised if there was similar support against the surging Lions. Detroit has won six of its past seven games, and the lone loss was on a last second field goal against the Buffalo Bills.
Total: 44.5
Just above the key range of 43-44, I view this as an accurate total and don't expect significant movement. The number was also 44.5 in look-ahead markets, and there hasn't been early lopsided action on either side.
Spread: Bills -8.5
Early action is on the Bears. Both the look-ahead and opening spreads were on the key number o f 10. The Buffalo Bills have only covered the number once through their past four games to drop to a 6-7-1 ATS record for the season. I expect this line to remain between the key numbers of 7 and 10, and for there to be buyback on Buffalo from recreational bettors leading into Saturday.
Total: 41
This game has also seen huge action on the total, with a number as high as 45.5 once available in look-ahead markets. I don't think there will continue to be enough momentum on the Under for the total to fall below 40, but I also don't expect there to be enough buyback on the Over to move above the key range of 43-44, either.
Spread: Browns -3
The New Orleans Saints haven't won on the road since Week 1, so I'm expecting the early betting support for the Cleveland Browns to continue. PointsBet has already added the hook and made the Browns a -3.5 home favorite, and I anticipate other sportsbooks to follow its lead.
Total: 33< /p>
Weather forecasts are calling for snow and wind at FirstEnergy Stadium on Saturday, and this total has dropped as a result. It was as high as 39 last week in look-ahead markets. I think this is a bit of an overreaction, but I'm also not convinced this number climbs.
Spread: Chiefs -9.5
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as 10-point home favorites, but the early action has been on the Seattle Seahawks and the spread has moved off the key number. Seattle has lost four of its past five games, while the 11-3 Chiefs are competing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Admittedly, while I don't have a strong feel for where this line will go, I have it power ranked as Chiefs -8.5.
Total: 49
There's disparity in this total across our top-rated sportsbooks. FanDuel and DraftKings have it trading the highest at 49.5, while BetMGM is hanging the lowest number (48.5). Early betting action has been on the Over, and I suspect this total will continue to climb toward the key number of 51.
Spread: Vikings -3.5
There's been slight movement to this spread, as the Minnesota Vikings were trading at -4.5 in look-ahead markets. The New York Giants win on Sunday Night Football caused the shift, as this game reopened with the G-Men listed as a +3.5 road underdog. Early betting action has been balanced, so I don't expect a significant adjustment to the number.
Total: 47.5
The Over has taken a small majority of the wagers for this game, and I expect the trend to continue. I just don't think we're going to see a huge increase in the total, though. That jump already occurred last week when the number climbed from 45.5 to 47.5 in look-ahead markets. It's definitely worth noting DraftKings is on an island with a 48 total for this game, and oddsmakers at other shops could soon follow suit.
Spread: Bengals -3.5
The Cincinnati Bengals are taking the majority of early money, moving this spread up from the -3 look-ahead line. I have this game power ranked at Bengals -4.5, so I expect the New England Patriots to be +4 home underdogs by Saturday's kickoff.
Total: 40