Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15
Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 15

The Atlanta Falcons (5-8) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (4-9) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Saints are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Saints Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.

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Falcons vs. Saints Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 15 game with 58.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 15 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mark Ingram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • Falcons are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -18.73% ROI
  • Falcons are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • Falcons are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.76% ROI).

  • Saints are 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -32.22% ROI
  • Saints are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • Saints are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Falcons are 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .626.

The Falcons are winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Falcons are 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.

The Falcons are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .262.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Saints are winless (0-6) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

The Saints are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .262.

  
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