The Dallas Cowboys (10-3) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8) on Dec. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Jacksonville.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 15
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 15 game with 67.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 15 with 52.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Interceptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets for Week 15:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets for Week 15:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 8-5 (+2.45 Units / 17.19% ROI).
- Cowboys are 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 19.29% ROI
- Cowboys are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Cowboys are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 5-8 (-3.8 Units / -26.67% ROI).
- Jaguars are 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -19.57% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Cowboys are undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .614.
The Cowboys are undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .550.
The Cowboys are 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — sixth-best in NFL. The Jaguars have averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .529.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Jaguars are 3-5 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .776.
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .374.