New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-11-2022
New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-11-2022

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The (7-5 SU and ATS) New York Jets will pay a visit to the (9-3 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) Buffalo Bills in Week 14 NFL action. NY lost 27-22 to Minnesota last week, while Buffalo beat New England 24-10. The Jets are 4-2 in road games, and Buffalo is 3-1 in home games this season. New York beat Buffalo 20-17 in Week 9. The Bills are favored by 9.5 points, and the game total is 43.5 points. Kickoff from Highmark Stadium will be at 1:00 p.m. ET.

New York is fighting for relevancy and playoff positioning and faces an uphill battle in the season's final stretch. The loss to the Vikings hurt, but the Jets should be commended for their effort. Down 20-6 at halftime, New York pushed Minnesota to the brink, nearly pulling off the comeback victory with 1:43 remaining when quarterback Mike White passed to receiver Braxton Berrios on fourth-and-goal from the 1. The pass hit Berrios in the hands, but he bobbled and dropped the football, giving it back to Minny. With three timeouts remaining, NY forced a three-and-out, but its final drive fell short of the endzone.

The ending was a fitting conclusion for a Jets team knocking on the door but falling short. Since ripping off four straight wins earlier this season, New York has alternated wins and losses, dropping two crucial games to division rival New England, who is right in the mix for a playoff spot, too. Its win over Chicago notwithstanding, the Jets' past six games have all been narrow victories or defeats. As if that wasn't enough to upset fans' stomachs, NY has also switched quarterbacks twice and has a revolving door on the offensive line, with injuries piling up since training camp.

In its win over Buffalo earlier this season, the Jets' defense gave us an idea of what the team could amount to, containing the Bills' offense to 317 total yards and zero passing touchdowns. Bills QB Josh Allen was 18-for-34 passing with two interceptions and was sacked five times by NY's menacing front. On the other side, New York rushed for 174 yards, and QB Zach Wilson managed the game well enough to win. Replicating that desired outcome will be a challenge, but one that New York is invested in making a reality.

New York's offense is scoring 21.0 points per game, totaling 339.2 yards, including 115.1 rush yards and 224.1 pass yards. It scores touchdowns on 48.6 percent of its red zone trips, the sixth-lowest red zone TD percentage in the NFL. The Jets are also bottom-five on third down plays, converting only 32.9 percent for first downs.

The defense is the defining factor in New York's playoff asp irations. The Jets give up 18.6 points per game, the sixth-lowest PPG average in the league, and 307.0 total yards per game, the fourth-fewest yards surrendered. Its pass defense is ranked sixth-best, allowing only 194.3 passing yards per contest.

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