Week 14 of the NFL season begins with the Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime Video. Our NFL expert, Clevta, has a best bet and predictions for the game.
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Clevta’s Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Rams best bet: Rams +6 (-110)
The Rams’ quarterback situation makes this a difficult game to handicap regardless of who is under center I’m going to grab the points. If we do a market comparison, last week the Rams closed as +6.5 underdogs at home against Seattle. The same Seattle team was favored by 3.5 just 2 weeks ago at home against these Raiders. The market is saying Seattle is about 1.5 to 2 points better than Las Vegas, so for the market this week to essentially be saying it's only a half-point gap doesn't make much sense. To me this line should be closer to 4.5, but I get the point that it's a short week and as of Wednesday morning we still don't know who is the starting QB for the Rams. That's why the Raiders get that extra benefit.
My issue is I just despise laying points on the road with Derek Carr considering his track record. In his career as a road favorite he is only 5-12-1 ATS and 8-10 straight up. The Raiders have lost 7 straight ATS as road favorites and are only 2-5 straight up. Their only 2 wins in this span have come by 1 point and 3 points. Carr is 0-4 ATS and an 1-3 straight up as a road favorite of more than a field goal in his career, which is where the Raiders find themselves this week.