The Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (3-9) on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Denver.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Broncos Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
Bet now on Broncos vs Chiefs & all NFL games with BetMGM
Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 14 game with 79.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 14 with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Broncos vs Chiefs and all NFL games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-7 (-2.8 Units / -21.05% ROI).
- Chiefs are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 10.56% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Chiefs are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 4-8 (-4.95 Units / -37.08% ROI).
- Broncos are 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -47.53% ROI
- Broncos are 1-11 when betting the Over for -11.15 Units / -84.15% ROI
- Broncos are 11-1 when betting the Under for +9.9 Units / 75.29% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Chiefs are 5-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 28 s this season — fourth-highest in NFL.
The Chiefs are undefeated (4-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .617.
The Chiefs are 12-3 (.800) at home since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .534.
The Chiefs are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos are 3-12 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.