UFC on ESPN 42 takes place on Saturday at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida. This card features a welterweight fight between Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland as the Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this card, with odds of +446 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 42 predictions for the 6-fight Main Card.
Kevin Holland is a moderate sized favorite in this fight, but he has been a little inconsistent recently, just 2-3 in his last 5 fights. Stephen Thompson has been equally inconsistent, 2-4 in his last 6 fights in the UFC. Thompson has seen 5 of his last 6 fights end by decision, but Holland has seen each of his last 3 fights end inside the distance. Holland has 19 finishes in his career, so for that reason, also backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the lean.
Rafael Dos Anjos is a significant favorite in this fight, but his recent fights would suggest he is much too risky to back here. He is 2-3 over his last 5 UFC fights, while Bryan Barberena is 4-1 during the same stretch. Barberena is actually the one with the superior striking and while Dos Anjos has better grappling, Barberena has never lost by submission in the UFC. This is a tough fight to call, but both fighters have seen 4 of their last 5 UFC fights go the distance, therefore backing this fight to do the same will be the play.