The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Marlins vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 48-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-52 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Frank Schwindel | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 47-60 against the Run Line (-22 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 48-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.28% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 54-52 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 43-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.38% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 4.97% ROI
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 43 of Jesus Luzardo’s 298 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .279 (24-for-86) against Jesus Luzardo on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 89th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (213 Total Bases / 373 ABs) on fastballs since the start of 2020 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .437 — second Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (298 Total Bases / 503 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .479 — first Percenti le.
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 17th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.
Adrian Sampson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 66.0.