The Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 43-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 70-37 ATS.

Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.10 Units / 119% ROI)
• Michael Chavis has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 28 games (+18.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games at home (+15.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 98 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.45 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 66 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 87 games (+27.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 87 games (+27.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 56-51 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.33% ROI).

• 43-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.08% ROI
• 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -11.89% ROI
• 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.67% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 70-37 against the Run Line (+26.05 Units / 18.5% ROI).

• 56-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.4 Units / 20.79% ROI
• 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -5.78% ROI
• 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.63% ROI

Bryse Wilson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryse Wilson has allowed a BABIP of .417 vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .575 (149 Total Bases / 259 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .394 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 80% (12/15) against Bryse Wilson vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .324 (84-for-259) against Bryse Wilson since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

18 of Spenser Watkins’ 40 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .366 (34-for-93) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .257 — second Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (58 Total Bases / 93 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .438 — second Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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