The Cincinnati Reds (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 43-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 45-62 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 77% ROI)
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Luis Urias | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Luis Urias | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Luis Urias | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corbin Burnes | 9.5 +115 | 9.5 -160 |
Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -7.47% ROI).
- 43-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -8.14% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.64% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -9.12% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 45-62 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -16.71% ROI).
- 58-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -9.34% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 2.95% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -10.79% ROI
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of just .247 (36 Total Bases / 146 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a .523 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .247 vs left-handed batters this season (second best among non-qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (441/592) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (102/604) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (211/542) against Corbin Burnes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (338/517) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (365/979) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (113/162) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.