Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 6
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 6

The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 61-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 65-41 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 away games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 37 away games (+12.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 103 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 55 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games at home (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Joey Gallo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

    Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
    Freddie Freeman 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
    Gavin Lux 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Joey Gallo 0.5 -125 0.5 -115

    Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Joey Gallo 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

    Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew Heaney 5.5 +105 5.5 -145
    Mike Clevinger 5.5 -110 5.5 -130

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 84 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 away games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 away games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 103 games (+22.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 102 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 106 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-58 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -6.17% ROI).

    • 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
    • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -7.51% ROI
    • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.24% ROI

    Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-41 against the Run Line (+20.85 Units / 16.53% ROI).

    • 73-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 2.06% ROI
    • 41-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -17.89% ROI
    • 56-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 8.81% ROI

    Mike Clevinger has walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

    Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Mike Clevinger — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

    Mike Clevinger has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season (166 balls in play) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

    Mike Clevinger has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 40 opportunities (5%) this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 11% — ninth Percentile.

    Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (97/303) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

    Andrew Heaney has averaged 80.0 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — sixth Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

    Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (125 Total Bases / 203 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .448 — first Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

      
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