Central Florida vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13
Central Florida vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The UCF Knights (8-3) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls (1-10) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Tampa.

Central Florida are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Central Florida vs. South Florida Over/Under is 68.5 total points.

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Central Florida vs South Florida Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 70.3% confidence.

Central Florida vs South Florida Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and South Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+9.63 Units / 67% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.09 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 13.96% ROI).

  • Central Florida is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -10.11% ROI
  • Central Florida is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Central Florida is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida has gone 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI).

  • South Florida is 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -100% ROI
  • South Florida is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • South Florida is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

#25 UCF is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 10th-best in FBS; Average: .504

#25 UCF is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .508

South Florida is winless (0-17) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425

  
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