The Michigan State Spartans (5-6) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in University Park.
Penn State are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -18 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Penn State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
Bet now on Penn State vs Michigan State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 75.3% confidence.
Michigan State vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Payton Thorne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jarek Broussard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Sean Clifford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+11.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.29 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.52 Units / 14% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State has gone 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI).
- Michigan State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 3.2% ROI
- Michigan State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Michigan State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State has gone 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).
- Penn State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 10.43% ROI
- Penn State is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Penn State is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Michigan State is 15-3 (.789) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Michigan State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561
Michigan State is 12-3 (.632) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429
Michigan State is 11-2 (.786) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .547