The New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames (8-3) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lynchburg.
Liberty are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 51 total points.
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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 77.6% confidence.
New Mexico State vs Liberty Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 72.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.94 Units / 42% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+5.46 Units / 28% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.14 Units / 26% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -10.23% ROI
- New Mexico State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- New Mexico State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty has gone 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.92% ROI).
- Liberty is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 3.08% ROI
- Liberty is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Liberty is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .448
New Mexico State is 1-14 (.067) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
New Mexico State is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .398