The Troy Trojans (9-2) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Jonesboro.
Troy are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 72.9% confidence.
Troy vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.54 Units / 53% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.96 Units / 23% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy has gone 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.68% ROI).
- Troy is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 27.14% ROI
- Troy is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- Troy is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas State has gone 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -27.25% ROI
- Arkansas State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Arkansas State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Troy is 6-1 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .497