UFC on ESPN 40: Augusto Sakai vs. Sergey Spivak Picks and Predictions
UFC on ESPN 40: Augusto Sakai vs. Sergey Spivak Picks and Predictions

Augusto Sakai and Sergey Spivak face off on Saturday on the main card of UFC on ESPN 40 in a heavyweight showdown at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Sakai is ranked 14th in the division while Spivac is unranked. 

Augusto Sakai comes into this fight with a 15-4-1 record overall but he has lost three fights in a row. Sakai’s last fight came against Tai Tuivasa and he looked really bad in that one. Sakai was outstruck 34-21 and early in the second round, he was knocked out. Sakai is averaging 5.04 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.09 significant strikes per minute. He mostly wants to keep the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.14 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 33 percent of his takedown attempts and he stops 68 percent of his takedown attempts. 

On the other side of this matchup is Sergey Spivak who sits with a 14-3 record overall and he has won four of his last five fights. Spivak’s last fight came against Greg Hardy in March of 2022 and it was a little over two minutes into the fight that he was able to win the fight by knockout. Spivak is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.22 significant strikes per minute. Spivak wants to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 3.29 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 60 percent of his takedown attempts. He also is successful on 70 percent of his takedown attempts. He is also averaging 0.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

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