Pirates vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 5
Pirates vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 5

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 43-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 69-36 ATS.

Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michael Chavis has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 42 games at home (+17.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+16.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Austin Hays 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

    Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
    Cedric Mullins 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

    Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Dean Kremer 4.5 +105 4.5 -145
    Mitch Keller 4.5 +120 4.5 -175

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 away games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 46 away games (+3.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 85 games (+27.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 85 games (+25.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 55-50 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.06% ROI).

    • 43-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.73% ROI
    • 45-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -11.98% ROI
    • 54-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 3.91% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 69-36 against the Run Line (+25.85 Units / 18.62% ROI).

    • 54-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.4 Units / 19.58% ROI
    • 49-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.76% ROI
    • 52-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.49% ROI

    Opponents are hitting .421 (166-for-394) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 0 Percentile.

    The average home run distance against Mitch Keller against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 385.7 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

    Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .408 (213 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.

    Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .373 (902 PA’s) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.

    Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Dean Kremer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 16th — the longest active streak is 6.

    Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (11/21) against Dean Kremer against right-handed batters — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — ninth Percentile.

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

      
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