The Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-7) visit Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (3-7) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Marcos.
Texas State are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Arkansas State vs. Texas State is 51.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas State vs Arkansas State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 57.7% confidence.
Arkansas State vs Texas State Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+7.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas State has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -23.05% ROI
- Arkansas State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Arkansas State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Texas State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 13.94% ROI
- Texas State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arkansas State is 3-16 (.158) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404