The North Carolina State Wolfpack (7-3) visit Cardinal Stadium to take on the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Louisville.
Louisville are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for NC State vs. Louisville is 45 total points.
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NC State vs Louisville Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts NC State will win this game with 52% confidence.
NC State vs Louisville Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts NC State will cover the spread with 56% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Louisville, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Louisville Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisville players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Malik Cunningham has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Malik Cunningham has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Malik Cunningham has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ahmari Huggins-Bruce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
NC State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Louisville Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State has gone 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).
- NC State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -36.9% ROI
- NC State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
- NC State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Louisville is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -8.69% ROI
- Louisville is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Louisville is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
#23 North Carolina State is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561
#14 North Carolina State is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2020 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .619
Louisville is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450
Louisville is 2-11 (.154) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448
Louisville is 3-11 (.214) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .493
Louisville is 3-12 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361