New Mexico State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12
New Mexico State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

The New Mexico State Aggies (4-5) visit Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Missouri Tigers (4-6) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Columbia.

Missouri are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri is 46.5 total points.

Bet now on Missouri vs New Mexico State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

New Mexico State vs Missouri Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 75.6% confidence.

New Mexico State vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tauskie Dove has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

  • New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 games (+6.46 Units / 35% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.94 Units / 45% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)

  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)

New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico State has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • New Mexico State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -10.23% ROI
  • New Mexico State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • New Mexico State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • Missouri is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -6.69% ROI
  • Missouri is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Missouri is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

New Mexico State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

New Mexico State is winless (0-9) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .436

New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

Missouri is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Missouri is 4-9 (.211) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Missouri is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Missouri is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Missouri has 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns this season — third-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

  
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