The USC Trojans (9-1) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (8-2) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pasadena.
USC are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for USC vs. UCLA is 75.5 total points.
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USC vs UCLA Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 53.3% confidence.
USC vs UCLA Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both USC and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best USC Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for USC players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Travis Dye has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Caleb Williams has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jake Bobo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.35 Units / 38% ROI)
USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- USC has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- USC is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 12.86% ROI
- USC is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- USC is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- UCLA is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -7.02% ROI
- UCLA is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- UCLA is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
#12 USC is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .519
#6 USC is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493
#6 USC is 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431
#6 USC is 7-3 (.583) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411
#9 UCLA is 11-4 (.579) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436
#9 UCLA is 8-4 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
#9 UCLA is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — 11th-best in FBS; Average: .561
#9 UCLA is 8-4 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .379
UCLA’s RBs have 53.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. USC’s defense has allowed 250.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Pac-12 defenses.