The Minnesota Vikings (7-1) visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills (6-2) on Nov. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Orchard Park.
The Bills are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Vikings vs. Bills Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bills Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 10 game with 81.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread this Week 10 with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Isaiah McKenzie has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets for Week 10:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Bills Best Bets for Week 10:
- The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 3-4 (-1.5 Units / -16.76% ROI).
- Vikings are 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 36.92% ROI
- Vikings are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Vikings are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 7.91% ROI).
- Bills are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -4.98% ROI
- Bills are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Bills are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — third-best in NFL. The Bills have turned the ball over 14 times this season — fourth-most in NFL.
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) at home this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .543.
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .634.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bills are undefeated (3-0) at home this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .543.