The San Francisco 49ers (9-10) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-7) on Feb. 11 in the Super Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this Super Bowl matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The 49ers vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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49ers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Super Bowl:
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
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Best 49ers Player Prop Bets Super Bowl
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for 49ers players in the Super Bowl, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brock Purdy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players in the Super Bowl, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Skyy Moore has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rashee Rice has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kadarius Toney has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +350 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +550 |
| Travis Kelce | +600 |
| Rashee Rice | +850 |
| George Kittle | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chiefs vs 49ers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | -210 |
| Isiah Pacheco | -135 |
| Travis Kelce | -110 |
| Rashee Rice | +125 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +155 |
Super Bowl 49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Super Bowl Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 21 games (+16.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 9-9 (-0.8 Units / -3.86% ROI).
- 49ers are 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 49ers are 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI
- 49ers are 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 15.64% ROI).
- Chiefs are 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -3.19% ROI
- Chiefs are 6-13 when betting the Over for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI
- Chiefs are 13-6 when betting the Under for +6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The 49ers are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Chiefs have intercepted 8 passes this season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
The 49ers are winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The 49ers are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The 49ers are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Chiefs are 15-6 (.714) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .295.
The Chiefs are 8-4 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Chiefs are 8-1 (.889) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .576.
The Chiefs are 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .637.