2023 Valspar Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions

Just because we’re playing with house money the rest of the season does not mean we can’t keep winning and padding the bankroll. I was hesitant to bet Scottie Scheffler at his odds, but that turned into a foolish error because he was utterly dominant at last week’s PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Scheffler was amazing. He put on a ball-striking clinic to blow away the field, despite losing strokes to the field in putting. Our two cashing tickets were Max Homa Top-10 and Tom Hoge Top-20. Hoge made the cut on the number at 2-over par, then shot a course-record 62 on Saturday. Those two wins brought us back to about even on the week , with the treacherous Valspar Championship next on the docket.

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2023 Valspar Championship Odds, Picks & Predictions

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The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook is another tough Florida track near Tampa Bay. The par-71 stretches to over 7,300 yards, and the Valspar winner is often only single digits under par. Defending champion Sam Burns has won the last two in a row at 17-under par both in 2021 and 2022. The metrics that will be most heavily weighted in my statistical model will be Strokes Gained on Approach (SG: APP) and Par-4 Scoring, along with Bogey Avoidance and Good Drives Gained.

  
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