The overlap between fantasy football and NFL betting is significant – so why not get two sets of advice in one place? We at Sportsbook Review have asked four of our top NFL betting analysts to offer their insight into the top quarterback sleepers and busts, along with their top betting plays based on the latest NFL odds.
Landing a great quarterback will usually keep you in the hunt in your fantasy football leagues – but it can be difficult to do if you don't snag one of the leading options.
Discourse on when to draft a quarterback is always spirited. But if you're like most fantasy players and leave the QB decision to later in your draft, you'll want to be sure you're landing a player with significant upside. Conversely, if you do take the plunge early, it's essential that you avoid high-profile QBs who ultimately underperform.
Those same principles apply to your QB futures bets. You need to know which unheralded quarterbacks are great bets to exceed their sportsbook totals, and which star signal-callers are due for negative regression. That's the difference between turning a profit and coming up empty-handed.
Have a look as our analysts share their thoughts on the 2023 NFL quarterback landscape as part of our 2023 NFL betting guide based on the odds from our best sports betting apps (pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Top 12 Fantasy Quarterbacks by ADP
| Rank | Player | Team | ADP | Pass Yd Prop | Pass TD Prop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | 19.2 | 4,800.5 (-110/-110) | 36.5 (-105/-115) |
| 2 | Josh Allen | Bills | 21.8 | 4,350 (-105/-115) | 32.5 (+100/-125) |
| 3 | Jalen Hurts | Eagles | 25.5 | 3,650 (-110/-110) | 22.5 (+100/-120) |
| 4 | Joe Burrow | Bengals | 46.5 | 4,425.5 (+105/-130) | 33.5 (+110/-140) |
| 5 | Lamar Jackson | Ravens | 52.3 | 3,550.5 (+105/-130) | 23.5 (-115/-105) |
| 6 | Justin Fields | Bears | 59.3 | 2,950.5 (+110/-130) | 17.5 (-120/+100) |
| 7 | Justin Herbert | Chargers | 63.9 | 4,500.5 (+100/-125) | 29.5 (-115/-105) |
| 8 | Trevor Lawrence | Jaguars | 75.1 | 3,950.5 (-130/+105) | 25.5 (-125/+100)< /td> |
| 9 | Deshaun Watson | Browns | 88.0 | 3,625.5 (-105/-115) | 24.5 (+100/-120) |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | Cowboys | 89.2 | 4,050.5 (+110/-140) | 26.5 (+100/-125) |
| 11 | Kirk Cousins | Vikings | 95.5 | 4,350.5 (+100/-125) | 29.5 (+100/-120) |
| 12 | Aaron Rodgers | Jets | 99.0 | 3,995 (+100/-120) | 28.5 (+100/-120) |
(12-team ADP courtesy Fantasy Football Calculator; passing props via bet365; last updated Wednesday, Aug. 16 at 10:30 a.m. ET)
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2023 Quarterback Sleepers
Pick: Love Over 3,350.5 passing yards (+125 via DraftKings) ?????
Just because the back of his jersey doesn't read “Rodgers,” there's a prevailing narrative that Jordan Love won't succeed in 2023. The Packers have been observing him in practice for years and made the choice to trade Rodgers and elevate Love to the starting position. They wouldn't have taken that step if the team wasn't confident in his ability. I've come across projections for Love that forecast him throwing for 3,717 yards, a figure that would notably exceed the totals posted at some of our best sportsbooks.