Ah, yes! Welcome to my backyard of Las Vegas, Nevada, the entertainment capital of the world and your host for this week’s Shriners Children’s Open.
For anyone watching the event for the first time and wondering what to expect from a game theory standpoint, you will get scenery, greenery and excitement, but for what the course brings to viewers from a visual perspective, you lose almost all the difficulty along the way.
The average winning score has been 23-under during the last four iterations of this contest, and golfers are hitting an astronomical 72% of their greens in regulation. That total is seven percent higher than the expected level of a random track on TOUR, showing that upside and scoring will hold a premium from a day-to-day perspective.
For that reason, I will look at some of the golfers whom my model believes are underrated this week, as opposed to overrated, since mistakes aren’t going to get as glorified at this stop. We want players we trust from a daily outlook standpoint, and while pricing is extremely stout across the board, let’s see if we can’t pinpoint a few players whom the market is marginally too low on for the week.