These early season events are always hard to handicap because we have limited data on all the Korn Ferry Tour golfers making their paths on the PGA Tour. One good or bad finish will drastically shift their profiles since the strokes gained data can promptly overtake their proper baseline form. I would compare these contests to preseason football — where the wheels are still in motion trying to figure out answers for the season — which means we need to be careful in taking too aggressive of an approach on any outlier category that might be flawed from a long-term outlook.
Keep all of that in mind as I run down some of my most overrated options on the board for the first round of the Sanderson Farms Championship. Let’s see if we can find value in this market by opposing golfers who are getting more credit than they deserve.
If you aren’t doing so already, you can find me on Twitter (@TeeOffSports), where I will provide my pre-tournament model, a powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings for golf. That sheet is free and released every Monday, so be sure to check it out and construct your own numbers from my database of information.