I hate playing overs in the season win total market. My portfolio is about 80% under plays, and nine of my top ten are usually under plays (50 or so plays per season). My over plays are usually reserved for teams other than in the Power Five conferences. I went over for Minnesota last year.
They delivered, despite losing their great RB in the first game of the season, and their backup soon thereafter. The challenge for 2022 is to get more consistent QB play out of Tanner Morgan. Notice a trend with the Big Ten West? I do.
Last year I noted that I was not a big Mike Sanford fan. Kirk Ciarrocca left for another job after 2019 but returns now as offensive coordinator. This is a good move.
Two of four running backs left the progra m. The two that return are the ones off injury. I strongly recommend charting their progress to see if they are fully healed. I firmly expect QB Morgan play to improve. Like Wisconsin and Iowa, the TD-int ratio was 10-9. Morgan in 2019 had a 30-7 ratio with this returning offensive coordinator!