It was an excellent regular season for Josh Allen and the Bills in 2021, but one coin flip ended their season. The Kansas City Chiefs won the coin toss in overtime and scored to win the AFC Championship game. It was a gut-wrenching loss for Buffalo, but with even higher expectations in 2022, Josh Allen has a lot to live up to.
Josh Allen futures bets
Over 4400.5 (-120)
Under 4440.5 (+100)
Josh Allen has thrown for at least 4,400 yards in back-to-back seasons, but it's come down to the last game both times. Allen threw for 4,544 yards in 2020 and then 4,407 last season, just barely going over this year's set total. Some might be surprised that his total is set lower than Tom Brady's, Justin Herbert's, or even Derek Carr's, but it's important to remember Buffalo isn't the most pass-friendly stadium during football season. 5 of the Bills' final 9 games of the season will take place in Buffalo which is during October, November, and December. Essentially, they will be playing in a lot of cold weather games which isn’t the best for passing. They will also play in New England and Chicago in those last 9 games, so they won't have many warm conditions after the first half of the season.
For his receiving core, Allen has a solid group made of Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Jamison Crowder, and Dawson Knox, but the Bills lack talent at receivers after those four. Diggs will continue to be Allen's favorite target to get downfield, and Knox should once again be the red zone threat, but with all things considered, Allen won't throw for over 4,400 yards. I expect him just below at around 4,200 to 4,400, so I'll take the under on this bet.